Manchester City W vs Paris Saint Germain W prediction
Thu 29 Oct, 20:00
Manchester Regional Arena
Ionela Alina Pesu
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
62%
Bookmakers 64%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 15%
Us 62%Bookmakers 64%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±4.7%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 62% against a market price of 64% (-1.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Manchester City W vs Paris Saint Germain W preview
Manchester City W host Paris Saint Germain W in the UEFA Champions League Women on Thursday 29 October at 20:00 at Manchester Regional Arena.
Our model gives Manchester City W 62%, the draw 20% and Paris Saint Germain W 17%; the bookmakers' prices said 64%, 21% and 15%.
Manchester City W have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 6 conceded).
Paris Saint Germain W have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 6 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
More UEFA Champions League Women predictions
All UEFA Champions League Women matches- Thu 29 Oct, 17:45 Paris FC W vs Häcken W Paris FC W win 46% @ 1.96
- Thu 29 Oct, 17:45 Austria Wien W vs Juventus W Juventus W win 45% @ 2.07
- Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 Køge W vs Barcelona W Køge W win 15% @ 61.00
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsManchester City W
DWWDW
- 25 Oct · A v Manchester United W 1–1 (xG 1.67–1.08)
- 18 Oct · H v Brighton W 3–2 (xG 2.37–1.03)
- 4 Oct · H v Arsenal W 4–2
- 1 Oct · H v Real Madrid W 1–1
- 26 Sep · A v Charlton Athletic W 1–0
Paris Saint Germain W
WLWWD
- 23 Oct · H v Montpellier W 1–0 (xG 0.00–0.00)
- 17 Oct · H v Lyon W 0–4 (xG 0.48–3.15)
- 4 Oct · A v FC Fleury 91 W 3–1
- 1 Oct · H v OH Leuven W 5–0
- 22 Sep · A v Real Madrid W 1–1
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.