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Rangers vs Aberdeen prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Hampden Park
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 80%Books 79% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win
62%
Bookmakers 60%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
17%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 62%Bookmakers 60% Fair price Uncertainty ±0.8%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Home win: 62% against a market price of 60% (+1.5%).

The full reasoning, 5 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Rangers vs Aberdeen preview

Rangers host Aberdeen in the League Cup on Saturday 31 October at 17:30 at Hampden Park.

Our model gives Rangers 62%, the draw 21% and Aberdeen 17%; the bookmakers' prices said 60%, 22% and 18%.

Rangers have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Aberdeen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Rangers won 5, Aberdeen won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Rangers

DWDWW
  • 28 Oct · A v Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 (xG 2.26–1.75)
  • 24 Oct · H v ST Johnstone 4–0 (xG 4.61–0.61)
  • 17 Oct · A v Dundee 2–2 (xG 1.82–1.81)
  • 10 Oct · H v Kilmarnock 3–1 (xG 1.42–1.15)
  • 20 Sep · A v Celtic 1–0 (xG 1.23–0.71)

Aberdeen

LLWLD
  • 28 Oct · H v Falkirk 0–1 (xG 1.72–1.08)
  • 24 Oct · A v Dundee Utd 2–3 (xG 1.58–1.54)
  • 17 Oct · H v ST Mirren 3–1 (xG 2.33–1.02)
  • 11 Oct · H v ST Johnstone 0–1 (xG 1.23–1.10)
  • 19 Sep · A v Hibernian 1–1 (xG 0.77–1.43)

Head-to-head

Rangers 5 · draws 1 · Aberdeen 0, 3.0 goals a game

  • 30 Aug 2026 · Aberdeen 0–1 Rangers (Premiership)
  • 21 Mar 2026 · Rangers 4–1 Aberdeen (Premiership)
  • 11 Jan 2026 · Aberdeen 0–2 Rangers (Premiership)
  • 6 Jan 2026 · Rangers 2–0 Aberdeen (Premiership)
  • 11 May 2025 · Rangers 4–0 Aberdeen (Premiership)
  • 13 Apr 2025 · Aberdeen 2–2 Rangers (Premiership)