NorthEast United vs Bengaluru prediction

14:00

Fri 30 Oct, 14:00 Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 77%Books 77% Best odds 1.25 (Bet365)

Match result: no bet

Home win

37%

Bookmakers 38%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

36%

Bookmakers 36%

Us 37%Bookmakers 38% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 37% against a market price of 38% (-0.6%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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NorthEast United vs Bengaluru preview

NorthEast United host Bengaluru in the Indian Super League on Friday 30 October at 14:00 at Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium.

Our model gives NorthEast United 37%, the draw 27% and Bengaluru 36%; the bookmakers' prices said 38%, 26% and 36%.

NorthEast United have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (11 scored, 2 conceded).

Bengaluru have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings NorthEast United won 0, Bengaluru won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

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