Likely slip
Version 2, published Fri 04:02, scheduled
Replaced by v3 — a better slip was found: Newcastle Jets v Macarthur: replaced by a stronger leg; Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka: replaced by a stronger leg
Not a value bet. This slip is built to land: its legs are results we and the bookmakers both rate likely, so the odds pay a little less than the risk is worth. It wins more often than our value slips; staked again and again it does not beat the bookmaker.
- Bookmaker pays
- 4.15
- Our fair odds
- 4.62
- Chance all win
- 21.65%
- Likely range
- 21.06%–22.26%
- At least 9 of 10 win
- 57.5%
- Market implies
- 21.98%
- Value at the price
- -10%
- If every leg is 2 pts worse
- -29%
- Margin of safety
- +0.0 pts
Expect it to land about 1 in 4.6 times.
The 10 legs
10 matches, the selection and price for each, and why each made the slip
Every leg is also sealed in the public ledger and revealed at kickoff.
Join free to see the legs