Long shot slip
Version 2, published Sat 05:01, event: referee
Replaced by v3 — Felgueiras 1932 v Lusitânia Lourosa: re-tagged Value → Avoid; Rio Ave v Famalicao: re-tagged Value → Avoid
- Bookmaker pays
- 11.62
- Our fair odds
- 6.80
- Chance all win
- 14.70%
- Likely range
- 14.21%–15.21%
- At least 3 of 4 win
- 50.9%
- Market implies
- 7.51%
- Value at the price
- +71%
- If every leg is 2 pts worse
- +50%
- Margin of safety
- +7.8 pts
Expect it to land about 1 in 6.8 times.
The 4 legs
4 matches, the selection and price for each, and why each made the slip
Every leg is also sealed in the public ledger and revealed at kickoff.
Join free to see the legs