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Long shot slip

Version 7, published Sun 10:41, event: lineups
Invalidated (a leg was withdrawn or re-tagged)

Replaced by v8 — Crystal Palace v Newcastle: re-tagged Value → Agrees with the market


Bookmaker pays
5.84
Our fair odds
4.22
Chance all win
23.70%
Likely range
22.91%–24.52%
At least 2 of 3 win
67.5%
Market implies
15.60%
Value at the price
+38%
If every leg is 2 pts worse
+25%
Margin of safety
+6.4 pts

Expect it to land about 1 in 4.2 times.

The 3 legs

3 matches, the selection and price for each, and why each made the slip

Every leg is also sealed in the public ledger and revealed at kickoff.

Join free to see the legs