Check any pick we ever made

{
  "away": "Al Kholood",
  "bookmakers": 10,
  "edge": 0.0031,
  "explanation": "Away win: 41% against a market price of 41% (+0.3%).\nExpected goals Al-Faisaly FC 1.09 – 1.53 Al Kholood.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 44% (uncertainty ±13.7%), so it carries 9% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nAl-Faisaly FC's attack (0.74× the league rate) adds 0.6 pts to away win.\nAl Kholood's attack (1.10× the league rate) adds 0.4 pts to away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+0.3%).\nWhat changed since v1:\nOur probabilities: Home win 28% → 30% (+2.6 pts); Draw 27% → 29% (+1.2 pts); Away win 45% → 41% (-3.8 pts).\nMarket (de-vigged): Home win 28% → 31%; Draw 27% → 28%; Away win 45% → 41%.",
  "fixture": 1603046,
  "home": "Al-Faisaly FC",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-15T13:40:00+00:00",
  "league": "Pro League",
  "league_api_id": 307,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.41,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-307-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "2.27",
  "prediction_version": 2,
  "probability": 0.4131,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+0.3%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick",
  "what_changed": "What changed since v1:\nOur probabilities: Home win 28% → 30% (+2.6 pts); Draw 27% → 29% (+1.2 pts); Away win 45% → 41% (-3.8 pts).\nMarket (de-vigged): Home win 28% → 31%; Draw 27% → 28%; Away win 45% → 41%."
}