Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #406: pick published

Hash verified

Sigma Olomouc v Slovan Liberec: Home win 37% @ 2.49 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:04:01.615595+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 4ce76b54f394020795c5ec3e27449855fc395b409c43cd86e5aa2bd2e67d4977
Stored hash: 1cbc8d8978dc133047f9f707fe8111132c028b2d67a6d8676e8ac903f0c93ae4
Recomputed: 1cbc8d8978dc133047f9f707fe8111132c028b2d67a6d8676e8ac903f0c93ae4

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Slovan Liberec",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0007,
  "explanation": "Home win: 37% against a market price of 37% (-0.1%).\nExpected goals Sigma Olomouc 1.18 – 1.12 Slovan Liberec.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 37% (uncertainty ±7.9%), so it carries 28% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nSlovan Liberec's defence (0.80× the league rate against) takes 2.2 pts from home win.\nHome advantage in this league (+17% goals at home) adds 1.4 pts to home win.\nSigma Olomouc's attack (1.11× the league rate) adds 1.0 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-0.1%).",
  "fixture": 1560046,
  "home": "Sigma Olomouc",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Czech Liga",
  "league_api_id": 345,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.372,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-345-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "2.49",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.3713,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-0.1%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#405 #407

Latest entries

1501 in total