Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #773: pick published

Hash verified

Torpedo Kutaisi v Rustavi: Away win 36% @ 2.37 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-18T01:15:41.314052+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 8962416c7496ea990a3404ac69e262bbb0c4fb8e3dd029033547209af0ce77bc
Stored hash: 55bbf19c9cfe87c6d4e72169cd029e33de0120ec7890b33ccab7ed1a3d0d173e
Recomputed: 55bbf19c9cfe87c6d4e72169cd029e33de0120ec7890b33ccab7ed1a3d0d173e

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Rustavi",
  "bookmakers": 5,
  "edge": -0.0193,
  "explanation": "Away win: 36% against a market price of 38% (-1.9%).\nExpected goals Torpedo Kutaisi 1.43 – 1.21 Rustavi.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 32% (uncertainty ±6.8%), so it carries 28% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nRustavi's defence (0.85× the league rate against) adds 1.2 pts to away win.\nTorpedo Kutaisi's attack (1.17× the league rate) takes 1.2 pts from away win.\nHome advantage in this league (+14% goals at home) takes 0.9 pts from away win.\nTorpedo Kutaisi's defence (0.96× the league rate against) takes 0.4 pts from away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.9%).",
  "fixture": 1509202,
  "home": "Torpedo Kutaisi",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Erovnuli Liga",
  "league_api_id": 327,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.3822,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-327-v3)",
  "odds_taken": "2.37",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.363,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.9%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#772 #774

Latest entries

1408 in total