Valerenga vs Tromso prediction

18:15

Sun 1 Nov, 18:15 Intility Arena

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 83%Books 84% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

40%

Bookmakers 39%

Draw

24%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

36%

Bookmakers 36%

Us 40%Bookmakers 39% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.7% alone is not enough).

Home win: 40% against a market price of 39% (+0.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Valerenga vs Tromso preview

Valerenga host Tromso in the Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November at 18:15 at Intility Arena.

Our model gives Valerenga 40%, the draw 24% and Tromso 36%; the bookmakers' prices said 39%, 25% and 36%.

Valerenga have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 6 conceded).

Tromso have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 12 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Valerenga won 1, Tromso won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.

More Eliteserien predictions

All Eliteserien matches

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Bodo/Glimt vs Viking Bodo/Glimt win 55% @ 1.74
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg Rosenborg win 50% @ 1.86
Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Aalesund vs Sandefjord Aalesund win 47% @ 2.03
Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Brann vs Molde Molde win 41% @ 2.23
Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK Sarpsborg 08 FF win 63% @ 1.53
Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Start vs Lillestrom Lillestrom win 39% @ 2.42

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Valerenga

WWLDL

24 Oct · A v Bodo/Glimt 1–0 (xG 1.41–2.60)
18 Oct · H v Brann 3–1 (xG 2.80–2.95)
12 Oct · A v KFUM Oslo 1–2 (xG 1.72–2.07)
20 Sep · H v Fredrikstad 1–1 (xG 1.55–0.71)
12 Sep · A v Lillestrom 0–2 (xG 1.57–0.70)

Tromso

LDDWL

25 Oct · A v Viking 1–3 (xG 1.25–1.16)
18 Oct · H v KFUM Oslo 1–1 (xG 1.38–0.82)
11 Oct · A v Fredrikstad 1–1 (xG 1.51–1.51)
20 Sep · H v Ham-Kam 3–2 (xG 2.12–0.35)
12 Sep · A v Rosenborg 3–5

Head-to-head

Valerenga 1 · draws 0 · Tromso 2, 2.7 goals a game

11 Jul 2026 · Tromso 4–0 Valerenga (Eliteserien)
4 Oct 2025 · Valerenga 1–0 Tromso (Eliteserien)
31 May 2025 · Tromso 2–1 Valerenga (Eliteserien)