Gagra vs Rustavi prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 13:00
David Petriashvili Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 76%Books 75% Best odds 1.29 (Betfair)
Match result: no bet
Home win
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
50%
Bookmakers 53%
Us 50%Bookmakers 53%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 50% against a market price of 53% (-2.2%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Gagra vs Rustavi preview
Gagra host Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga on Sunday 1 November at 13:00 at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Our model gives Gagra 24%, the draw 26% and Rustavi 50%; the bookmakers' prices said 22%, 25% and 53%.
Gagra have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 11 conceded).
Rustavi have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 5 conceded).
In their last 3 meetings Gagra won 1, Rustavi won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.7 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
All Erovnuli Liga matches- Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Samgurali vs Spaeri Samgurali win 53% @ 1.73
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 Dinamo Tbilisi win 44% @ 2.13
- Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Dinamo Batumi win 73% @ 1.27
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGagra
DLLDL
- 23 Oct · A v Spaeri 0–0
- 17 Oct · H v Dinamo Batumi 1–3
- 11 Oct · A v Samgurali 0–3
- 19 Sep · H v Meshakhte 1–1
- 14 Sep · A v Dinamo Tbilisi 0–4
Rustavi
LWWLW
- 23 Oct · H v Dinamo Tbilisi 0–2
- 18 Oct · A v Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0
- 10 Oct · H v Dila 3–1
- 21 Sep · H v FC Iberia 1999 0–2
- 14 Sep · A v Meshakhte 1–0
Head-to-head
Gagra 1 · draws 1 · Rustavi 1, 2.7 goals a game
- 22 Aug 2026 · Rustavi 3–0 Gagra (Erovnuli Liga)
- 16 May 2026 · Gagra 1–1 Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga)
- 15 Mar 2026 · Rustavi 1–2 Gagra (Erovnuli Liga)