Samgurali vs Spaeri prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 11:00
Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.15 (Marathonbet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 53%Bookmakers 55%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 55% (-1.6%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Samgurali vs Spaeri preview
Samgurali host Spaeri in the Erovnuli Liga on Saturday 31 October at 11:00 at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Our model gives Samgurali 53%, the draw 23% and Spaeri 24%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 23% and 22%.
Samgurali have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 9 conceded).
Spaeri have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 11 conceded).
In their last 3 meetings Samgurali won 1, Spaeri won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
More Erovnuli Liga predictions
All Erovnuli Liga matches- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 Dinamo Tbilisi win 44% @ 2.13
- Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Gagra vs Rustavi Rustavi win 50% @ 1.80
- Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Dinamo Batumi win 73% @ 1.27
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSamgurali
LWWLL
- 24 Oct · A v Dinamo Batumi 0–3
- 17 Oct · H v Meshakhte 2–0
- 11 Oct · H v Gagra 3–0
- 19 Sep · H v Dinamo Tbilisi 2–3
- 14 Sep · A v Torpedo Kutaisi 2–3
Spaeri
DLDLL
- 23 Oct · H v Gagra 0–0
- 18 Oct · A v Dinamo Tbilisi 1–3
- 10 Oct · H v Torpedo Kutaisi 3–3
- 21 Sep · H v Dila 1–4
- 13 Sep · A v FC Iberia 1999 0–1
Head-to-head
Samgurali 1 · draws 1 · Spaeri 1, 4.0 goals a game
- 22 Aug 2026 · Spaeri 3–4 Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga)
- 17 May 2026 · Samgurali 0–0 Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga)
- 16 Mar 2026 · Spaeri 4–1 Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga)