HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica prediction

14:00

Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Stadion Poljud

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

73%

Bookmakers 74%

Draw

18%

Bookmakers 17%

Away win

Bookmakers 9%

Us 73%Bookmakers 74% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.2%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 73% against a market price of 74% (-0.4%).

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HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica preview

HNK Hajduk Split host HNK Gorica in the HNL on Saturday 31 October at 14:00 at Stadion Poljud.

Our model gives HNK Hajduk Split 73%, the draw 18% and HNK Gorica 9%; the bookmakers' prices said 74%, 17% and 9%.

HNK Hajduk Split have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 4 conceded).

HNK Gorica have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings HNK Hajduk Split won 4, HNK Gorica won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More HNL predictions

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Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 NK Slaven Belupo win 41% @ 2.24
Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb win 77% @ 1.23

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

HNK Hajduk Split

DWWWW

26 Oct · A v Istra 1961 2–2 (xG 1.48–1.59)
22 Oct · A v FC Thun 1–0 (xG 1.30–1.35)
18 Oct · H v NK Varazdin 1–0 (xG 1.43–1.25)
15 Oct · H v Ajax 2–1 (xG 1.99–1.15)
10 Oct · H v Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 (xG 1.05–1.39)

HNK Gorica

DDLWD

24 Oct · H v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–0 (xG 1.39–0.86)
17 Oct · A v NK Osijek 1–1 (xG 0.58–1.74)
9 Oct · H v Rudes 1–2 (xG 1.25–1.61)
19 Sep · A v Istra 1961 1–0 (xG 0.61–1.21)
14 Sep · H v NK Varazdin 2–2 (xG 0.85–1.55)

Head-to-head

HNK Hajduk Split 4 · draws 1 · HNK Gorica 1, 2.2 goals a game

16 Aug 2026 · HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split (HNL)
12 Apr 2026 · HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica (HNL)
31 Jan 2026 · HNK Gorica 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split (HNL)
24 Oct 2025 · HNK Gorica 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split (HNL)
10 Aug 2025 · HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 HNK Gorica (HNL)
11 May 2025 · HNK Gorica 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split (HNL)