Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction

Atletico Nacional

01:30

Santa Fe

Fri 30 Oct, 01:30 Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBanker

Us 72%Books 69% Beats the odds Best odds 1.40 (Bet365)

Match result: no bet

Home win

57%

Bookmakers 62%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 23%

Away win

18%

Bookmakers 16%

Us 57%Bookmakers 62% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 57% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 57% against a market price of 62% (-5.1%).

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Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe preview

Atletico Nacional host Santa Fe in the Primera A on Friday 30 October at 01:30 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Our model gives Atletico Nacional 57%, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 18%; the bookmakers' prices said 62%, 23% and 16%.

Atletico Nacional have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Santa Fe have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Atletico Nacional won 3, Santa Fe won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 72%.

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