Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 01:07
Estadio Akron
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
62%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 15%
Us 62%Bookmakers 65%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-7.2% expected per unit).
- Home win: 62% against a market price of 65% (-3.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC preview
Guadalajara Chivas host Atlante FC in the Liga MX on Sunday 1 November at 01:07 at Estadio Akron.
Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas 62%, the draw 22% and Atlante FC 16%; the bookmakers' prices said 65%, 20% and 15%.
Guadalajara Chivas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (4 scored, 4 conceded).
Atlante FC have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.
More Liga MX predictions
All Liga MX matches- Sat 31 Oct, 01:00 FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Club Queretaro win 39% @ 2.30
- Sat 31 Oct, 01:00 Atletico San Luis vs Atlas Atletico San Luis win 40% @ 2.67
- Sat 31 Oct, 03:00 Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas win 40% @ 2.42
- Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL CF Pachuca win 41% @ 2.25
- Sun 1 Nov, 01:05 Monterrey vs Club Tijuana Monterrey win 54% @ 1.59
- Sun 1 Nov, 03:10 Club America vs Toluca Club America win 46% @ 2.40
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGuadalajara Chivas
WWDDL
- 25 Oct · A v Monterrey 1–0 (xG 1.32–1.89)
- 21 Oct · H v Necaxa 1–0 (xG 0.76–0.58)
- 17 Oct · H v Tigres UANL 1–1 (xG 1.68–0.48)
- 11 Oct · A v Atlas 1–1 (xG 2.12–1.74)
- 26 Sep · H v Club Queretaro 0–2 (xG 1.27–1.88)
Atlante FC
LWLLW
- 24 Oct · H v Atletico San Luis 0–1 (xG 2.18–0.62)
- 21 Oct · A v FC Juarez 1–0 (xG 0.77–0.42)
- 17 Oct · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 (xG 1.04–1.21)
- 10 Oct · A v Club Queretaro 0–2 (xG 0.79–1.63)
- 26 Sep · H v Monterrey 4–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.