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Club America vs Toluca prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 03:10 Estadio Banorte
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Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsValue
    Us 63%Books 56% Beats the odds Best odds 1.70 (Pinnacle)

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Corners O/U 8.5Over 8.5 corners
    Us 70%Books 73% Best odds 1.31 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
46%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 46%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.7% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 46% against a market price of 42% (+3.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Club America vs Toluca preview

Club America host Toluca in the Liga MX on Sunday 1 November at 03:10 at Estadio Banorte.

Our model gives Club America 46%, the draw 26% and Toluca 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 25% and 34%.

Club America have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (13 scored, 9 conceded).

Toluca have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Club America won 3, Toluca won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 63%.

More Liga MX predictions

All Liga MX matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Club America

DLWWD
  • 29 Oct · H v Club Tijuana 1–1 (xG 1.62–0.47)
  • 26 Oct · H v CF Pachuca 1–2 (xG 2.78–0.58)
  • 22 Oct · A v Atlas 5–2 (xG 2.46–2.52)
  • 18 Oct · A v Leon 5–3 (xG 2.19–1.64)
  • 11 Oct · H v Monterrey 1–1 (xG 1.29–0.40)

Toluca

DDDLD
  • 24 Oct · A v Leon 1–1 (xG 1.43–1.54)
  • 22 Oct · H v Club Tijuana 2–2 (xG 2.24–1.44)
  • 18 Oct · H v Atletico San Luis 1–1 (xG 0.00–0.00)
  • 10 Oct · A v Tigres UANL 2–3 (xG 1.24–1.73)
  • 26 Sep · A v Cruz Azul 3–3 (xG 1.95–1.55)

Head-to-head

Club America 3 · draws 1 · Toluca 2, 2.0 goals a game

  • 19 Apr 2026 · Club America 2–1 Toluca (Liga MX)
  • 9 Nov 2025 · Toluca 2–0 Club America (Liga MX)
  • 26 May 2025 · Toluca 2–0 Club America (Liga MX)
  • 23 May 2025 · Club America 0–0 Toluca (Liga MX)
  • 1 Mar 2025 · Club America 3–0 Toluca (Liga MX)
  • 30 Nov 2024 · Toluca 0–2 Club America (Liga MX)