Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 23:00
Estadio Corona
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 87% Best odds 1.15 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
51%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 51%Bookmakers 51%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 51% against a market price of 51% (-0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Santos Laguna vs Necaxa preview
Santos Laguna host Necaxa in the Liga MX on Sunday 1 November at 23:00 at Estadio Corona.
Our model gives Santos Laguna 51%, the draw 23% and Necaxa 26%; the bookmakers' prices said 51%, 23% and 26%.
Santos Laguna have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).
Necaxa have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 11 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Santos Laguna won 1, Necaxa won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 4.8 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.
More Liga MX predictions
All Liga MX matches- Sat 31 Oct, 01:00 FC Juarez vs Club Queretaro Club Queretaro win 39% @ 2.30
- Sat 31 Oct, 01:00 Atletico San Luis vs Atlas Atletico San Luis win 40% @ 2.67
- Sat 31 Oct, 03:00 Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas win 40% @ 2.42
- Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL CF Pachuca win 41% @ 2.25
- Sun 1 Nov, 01:05 Monterrey vs Club Tijuana Monterrey win 54% @ 1.59
- Sun 1 Nov, 01:07 Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC Guadalajara Chivas win 62% @ 1.50
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSantos Laguna
LWWWW
- 26 Oct · A v Club Tijuana 1–4 (xG 0.56–3.26)
- 22 Oct · H v U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–0 (xG 1.88–0.22)
- 17 Oct · H v Club Queretaro 5–0 (xG 4.14–1.54)
- 11 Oct · A v Atletico San Luis 2–1 (xG 2.47–0.70)
- 27 Sep · H v CF Pachuca 1–0
Necaxa
DLLDL
- 24 Oct · H v FC Juarez 1–1 (xG 2.18–1.81)
- 21 Oct · A v Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 (xG 0.58–0.76)
- 17 Oct · H v Atlas 0–2 (xG 1.85–2.19)
- 11 Oct · A v CF Pachuca 3–3 (xG 3.25–1.15)
- 28 Sep · H v Club America 2–4
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna 1 · draws 0 · Necaxa 3, 4.8 goals a game
- 11 Jan 2026 · Santos Laguna 1–3 Necaxa (Liga MX)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Necaxa 4–1 Santos Laguna (Liga MX)
- 8 Feb 2025 · Necaxa 3–2 Santos Laguna (Liga MX)
- 2 Sep 2024 · Santos Laguna 3–2 Necaxa (Liga MX)