Metz vs PAU prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 79%Books 79% Best odds 1.24 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 45%Bookmakers 46%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±3.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 46% (-0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Metz vs PAU preview
Metz host PAU in the Ligue 2 on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Our model gives Metz 45%, the draw 26% and PAU 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 26% and 28%.
Metz have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 10 conceded).
PAU have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 5 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Metz won 0, PAU won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.
More Ligue 2 predictions
All Ligue 2 matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Nantes vs Clermont Foot Nantes win 58% @ 1.52
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Grenoble vs Dijon Dijon win 42% @ 2.27
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Laval vs Boulogne Laval win 39% @ 2.37
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Rodez vs Dunkerque Rodez win 45% @ 2.11
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMetz
DWLDL
- 23 Oct · A v Dunkerque 1–1 (xG 1.48–1.60)
- 17 Oct · H v Sochaux 3–2 (xG 1.72–1.85)
- 12 Oct · A v Dijon 2–4 (xG 1.47–2.05)
- 19 Sep · H v Saint Etienne 2–2
- 14 Sep · A v RED Star FC 93 0–1
PAU
WWWWL
- 23 Oct · H v Grenoble 2–1 (xG 1.37–0.76)
- 16 Oct · A v Guingamp 2–1 (xG 0.63–2.16)
- 9 Oct · H v Laval 3–2
- 18 Sep · H v Dunkerque 2–0
- 11 Sep · A v Montpellier 0–1
Head-to-head
Metz 0 · draws 1 · PAU 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 26 Apr 2025 · PAU 2–1 Metz (Ligue 2)
- 4 Jan 2025 · Metz 0–0 PAU (Ligue 2)