Nantes vs Clermont Foot prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 76%Books 77% Best odds 1.28 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
58%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 13%
Us 58%Bookmakers 65%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 58% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 58% against a market price of 65% (-7.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Nantes vs Clermont Foot preview
Nantes host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Our model gives Nantes 58%, the draw 24% and Clermont Foot 18%; the bookmakers' prices said 65%, 22% and 13%.
Nantes have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 6 conceded).
Clermont Foot have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 9 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 76%.
More Ligue 2 predictions
All Ligue 2 matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Grenoble vs Dijon Dijon win 42% @ 2.27
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Metz vs PAU Metz win 45% @ 2.11
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Laval vs Boulogne Laval win 39% @ 2.37
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Rodez vs Dunkerque Rodez win 45% @ 2.11
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNantes
LLDWL
- 24 Oct · A v Saint Etienne 0–1 (xG 0.30–0.83)
- 17 Oct · H v Dunkerque 2–3 (xG 1.62–1.52)
- 10 Oct · H v Reims 0–0
- 19 Sep · A v Boulogne 2–1
- 12 Sep · A v Sochaux 0–1
Clermont Foot
LDLDD
- 23 Oct · H v Guingamp 0–2 (xG 0.66–1.40)
- 16 Oct · A v Laval 3–3 (xG 0.93–3.31)
- 10 Oct · H v RED Star FC 93 2–3
- 18 Sep · A v Grenoble 1–1
- 11 Sep · H v Boulogne 0–0
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.