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Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Stade Océane
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 90%Books 90% Best odds 1.11 (Betano)

Most likely: Away win

Home win
8%
Bookmakers 8%
Draw
13%
Bookmakers 13%
Away win
79%
Bookmakers 79%
Us 79%Bookmakers 79% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.1%

Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Away win: 79% against a market price of 79% (-0.6%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain preview

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October at 18:00 at Stade Océane.

Our model gives Le Havre 8%, the draw 13% and Paris Saint Germain 79%; the bookmakers' prices said 8%, 13% and 79%.

Le Havre have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 11 conceded).

Paris Saint Germain have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (16 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Le Havre won 0, Paris Saint Germain won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 90%.

More Ligue 1 predictions

All Ligue 1 matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Le Havre

LLLLD
  • 25 Oct · A v Marseille 3–4 (xG 3.22–1.63)
  • 18 Oct · H v Auxerre 1–3 (xG 1.49–2.79)
  • 10 Oct · A v Lille 0–1 (xG 1.34–1.35)
  • 19 Sep · A v Toulouse 2–3 (xG 2.34–1.95)
  • 12 Sep · H v Angers 0–0 (xG 1.31–0.59)

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW
  • 26 Oct · H v Lyon 2–0 (xG 1.04–0.71)
  • 20 Oct · H v Barcelona 4–2 (xG 3.74–2.25)
  • 17 Oct · A v Strasbourg 3–1 (xG 2.75–1.55)
  • 14 Oct · A v Manchester City 4–2 (xG 1.85–2.67)
  • 10 Oct · H v Le Mans 3–1 (xG 4.25–1.43)

Head-to-head

Le Havre 0 · draws 0 · Paris Saint Germain 4, 3.0 goals a game

  • 28 Feb 2026 · Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
  • 22 Nov 2025 · Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
  • 19 Apr 2025 · Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
  • 16 Aug 2024 · Le Havre 1–4 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)