Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin prediction

17:00

Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

46%

Bookmakers 45%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

28%

Bookmakers 29%

Us 46%Bookmakers 45% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.5% alone is not enough).

Home win: 46% against a market price of 45% (+1.5%).

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Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin preview

Cracovia Krakow host Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 30 October at 17:00 at Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.

Our model gives Cracovia Krakow 46%, the draw 26% and Motor Lublin 28%; the bookmakers' prices said 45%, 26% and 29%.

Cracovia Krakow have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 11 conceded).

Motor Lublin have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Cracovia Krakow won 2, Motor Lublin won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 4.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More Ekstraklasa predictions

All Ekstraklasa matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa Gornik Zabrze win 45% @ 2.16

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Cracovia Krakow

LDWLL

24 Oct · A v Piast Gliwice 1–3 (xG 1.54–1.78)
17 Oct · H v Legia Warszawa 1–1 (xG 0.88–0.66)
10 Oct · H v Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 (xG 2.94–1.07)
19 Sep · A v GKS Katowice 2–3
13 Sep · A v Wisla Plock 1–3 (xG 1.14–1.48)

Motor Lublin

DWWDL

23 Oct · H v Zaglebie Lubin 2–2 (xG 2.12–0.57)
17 Oct · H v Slask Wroclaw 3–2 (xG 3.89–0.79)
12 Oct · A v Radomiak Radom 3–2 (xG 2.60–0.90)
19 Sep · H v Gornik Zabrze 0–0 (xG 0.52–1.20)
11 Sep · A v Raków Częstochowa 1–2 (xG 1.79–1.02)

Head-to-head

Cracovia Krakow 2 · draws 1 · Motor Lublin 1, 4.5 goals a game

16 May 2026 · Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow (Ekstraklasa)
22 Nov 2025 · Cracovia Krakow 1–2 Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa)
26 Apr 2025 · Motor Lublin 0–1 Cracovia Krakow (Ekstraklasa)
26 Oct 2024 · Cracovia Krakow 6–2 Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa)