Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa prediction

19:30

Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 74%Books 74% Best odds 1.31 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

45%

Bookmakers 45%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Us 45%Bookmakers 45% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).

Home win: 45% against a market price of 45% (+0.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

Join free to open them

Already a member? Sign in

Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa preview

Gornik Zabrze host Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 30 October at 19:30 at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Our model gives Gornik Zabrze 45%, the draw 27% and Legia Warszawa 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 45%, 27% and 28%.

Gornik Zabrze have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 3 conceded).

Legia Warszawa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Gornik Zabrze won 1, Legia Warszawa won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.

More Ekstraklasa predictions

All Ekstraklasa matches

Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Cracovia Krakow win 46% @ 2.16

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Gornik Zabrze

DDWDW

23 Oct · A v Widzew Łódź 1–1 (xG 1.95–0.82)
18 Oct · H v Piast Gliwice 1–1 (xG 3.12–0.87)
10 Oct · A v Jagiellonia 3–1 (xG 2.12–0.59)
19 Sep · A v Motor Lublin 0–0 (xG 1.20–0.52)
15 Sep · A v Korona Kielce 2–0 (xG 1.77–0.09)

Legia Warszawa

LDWWD

25 Oct · H v Lech Poznan 1–2 (xG 1.54–1.30)
17 Oct · A v Cracovia Krakow 1–1 (xG 0.66–0.88)
11 Oct · H v Wisla Krakow 2–0 (xG 1.32–0.83)
20 Sep · A v Jagiellonia 3–1 (xG 1.75–2.30)
13 Sep · H v Widzew Łódź 1–1 (xG 1.46–1.60)

Head-to-head

Gornik Zabrze 1 · draws 2 · Legia Warszawa 1, 2.8 goals a game

11 Apr 2026 · Legia Warszawa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa)
5 Oct 2025 · Gornik Zabrze 3–1 Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa)
6 Apr 2025 · Gornik Zabrze 1–2 Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa)
28 Sep 2024 · Legia Warszawa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa)