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Lausanne vs FC Thun prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 Stade de la Tuiliere
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 84%Books 84% Best odds 1.17 (Bet365)

Match result: no bet

Home win
38%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 37%
Us 38%Bookmakers 37% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.7% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 38% against a market price of 37% (+0.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Lausanne vs FC Thun preview

Lausanne host FC Thun in the Super League on Sunday 1 November at 15:30 at Stade de la Tuiliere.

Our model gives Lausanne 38%, the draw 24% and FC Thun 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 38%, 25% and 37%.

Lausanne have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (1 scored, 10 conceded).

FC Thun have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Lausanne won 1, FC Thun won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.

More Super League predictions

All Super League matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Lausanne

LLLLL
  • 25 Oct · A v FC Sion 0–1 (xG 1.21–2.11)
  • 11 Oct · A v FC ST. Gallen 0–1 (xG 0.86–1.65)
  • 20 Sep · H v FC Lugano 0–4 (xG 0.50–2.09)
  • 13 Sep · H v Servette FC 0–1 (xG 1.42–1.49)
  • 5 Sep · A v FC Vaduz 1–3 (xG 0.50–1.65)

FC Thun

LLLLW
  • 25 Oct · H v FC Lugano 2–3 (xG 1.90–1.70)
  • 22 Oct · H v HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 (xG 1.35–1.30)
  • 15 Oct · A v Twente 0–1 (xG 0.20–2.18)
  • 10 Oct · A v FC Zurich 2–4 (xG 1.46–0.94)
  • 20 Sep · A v FC Vaduz 2–1 (xG 1.70–2.77)

Head-to-head

Lausanne 1 · draws 1 · FC Thun 2, 3.0 goals a game

  • 2 Sep 2026 · FC Thun 0–0 Lausanne (Super League)
  • 12 Feb 2026 · FC Thun 5–1 Lausanne (Super League)
  • 30 Nov 2025 · Lausanne 2–1 FC Thun (Super League)
  • 3 Aug 2025 · FC Thun 2–1 Lausanne (Super League)