FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 prediction

15:30

Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 AIL Arena

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 86%Books 86% Best odds 1.14 (Pinnacle)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

62%

Bookmakers 61%

Draw

20%

Bookmakers 20%

Away win

18%

Bookmakers 19%

Us 62%Bookmakers 61% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.5%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 62% against a market price of 61% (+1.8%).

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FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 preview

FC Lugano host FC Basel 1893 in the Super League on Sunday 1 November at 15:30 at AIL Arena.

Our model gives FC Lugano 62%, the draw 20% and FC Basel 1893 18%; the bookmakers' prices said 61%, 20% and 19%.

FC Lugano have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (19 scored, 6 conceded).

FC Basel 1893 have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings FC Lugano won 4, FC Basel 1893 won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 86%.

More Super League predictions

All Super League matches

Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC FC ST. Gallen win 51% @ 1.80
Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz Grasshoppers win 39% @ 2.66
Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 FC Luzern vs FC Sion FC Sion win 42% @ 2.35
Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich BSC Young Boys win 76% @ 1.28
Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 Lausanne vs FC Thun FC Thun win 38% @ 2.66

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

FC Lugano

WWWWW

25 Oct · A v FC Thun 3–2 (xG 1.70–1.90)
22 Oct · A v Getafe 5–2 (xG 1.94–2.48)
15 Oct · H v FK Crvena Zvezda 3–2 (xG 2.29–1.23)
10 Oct · H v FC Luzern 4–0 (xG 2.56–0.89)
20 Sep · A v Lausanne 4–0 (xG 2.09–0.50)

FC Basel 1893

DLLWL

25 Oct · H v Grasshoppers 0–0 (xG 1.15–1.13)
11 Oct · A v FC Vaduz 0–3 (xG 0.90–3.08)
20 Sep · H v FC ST. Gallen 1–3 (xG 1.22–2.00)
13 Sep · A v FC Luzern 4–2 (xG 1.93–1.62)
6 Sep · H v FC Lugano 1–3 (xG 0.31–1.67)

Head-to-head

FC Lugano 4 · draws 1 · FC Basel 1893 1, 3.7 goals a game

6 Sep 2026 · FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC Lugano (Super League)
17 May 2026 · FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel 1893 (Super League)
15 Feb 2026 · FC Basel 1893 1–1 FC Lugano (Super League)
9 Nov 2025 · FC Basel 1893 0–1 FC Lugano (Super League)
10 Aug 2025 · FC Lugano 3–1 FC Basel 1893 (Super League)
10 May 2025 · FC Lugano 2–5 FC Basel 1893 (Super League)