Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction

15:00

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Rugby Park

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 81%Books 80% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

36%

Bookmakers 34%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

38%

Bookmakers 40%

Us 38%Bookmakers 40% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.5%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 38% against a market price of 40% (-1.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone preview

Kilmarnock host ST Johnstone in the Premiership on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Rugby Park.

Our model gives Kilmarnock 36%, the draw 25% and ST Johnstone 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 34%, 26% and 40%.

Kilmarnock have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 12 conceded).

ST Johnstone have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings Kilmarnock won 2, ST Johnstone won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 3.4 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 81%.

More Premiership predictions

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Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Motherwell vs ST Mirren Motherwell win 53% @ 1.85

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Kilmarnock

LLWLD

28 Oct · A v Dundee 1–3 (xG 2.24–2.28)
24 Oct · A v Falkirk 0–3 (xG 1.89–2.08)
17 Oct · H v Motherwell 3–2 (xG 1.56–2.46)
10 Oct · A v Rangers 1–3 (xG 1.15–1.42)
19 Sep · H v Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 (xG 0.23–1.78)

ST Johnstone

DLDWD

28 Oct · H v Motherwell 2–2 (xG 1.48–1.53)
24 Oct · A v Rangers 0–4 (xG 0.61–4.61)
17 Oct · H v Dundee Utd 1–1 (xG 1.36–1.17)
11 Oct · A v Aberdeen 1–0 (xG 1.10–1.23)
19 Sep · H v Falkirk 1–1 (xG 0.68–0.90)

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock 2 · draws 0 · ST Johnstone 3, 3.4 goals a game

2 Aug 2026 · ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock (Premiership)
3 May 2025 · ST Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock (Premiership)
15 Feb 2025 · Kilmarnock 3–1 ST Johnstone (Premiership)
23 Nov 2024 · ST Johnstone 1–0 Kilmarnock (Premiership)
11 Aug 2024 · Kilmarnock 0–3 ST Johnstone (Premiership)