Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Fir Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 53%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 53%Bookmakers 53%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 53% (-0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Motherwell vs ST Mirren preview
Motherwell host ST Mirren in the Premiership on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Fir Park.
Our model gives Motherwell 53%, the draw 23% and ST Mirren 24%; the bookmakers' prices said 53%, 24% and 23%.
Motherwell have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 11 conceded).
ST Mirren have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 13 conceded).
In their last 6 meetings Motherwell won 2, ST Mirren won 1 and 3 were drawn, with 3.7 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
More Premiership predictions
All Premiership matches- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone ST Johnstone win 38% @ 2.45
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMotherwell
DLLLL
- 28 Oct · A v ST Johnstone 2–2 (xG 1.53–1.48)
- 25 Oct · H v Heart Of Midlothian 0–2 (xG 1.34–1.12)
- 17 Oct · A v Kilmarnock 2–3 (xG 2.46–1.56)
- 11 Oct · H v Celtic 0–2 (xG 1.09–2.88)
- 19 Sep · A v Dundee 1–2 (xG 1.10–1.36)
ST Mirren
DWLLL
- 28 Oct · H v Hibernian 1–1 (xG 1.80–1.42)
- 24 Oct · H v Dundee 2–1 (xG 1.48–1.50)
- 17 Oct · A v Aberdeen 1–3 (xG 1.02–2.33)
- 10 Oct · A v Heart Of Midlothian 0–5 (xG 0.74–3.51)
- 19 Sep · H v Dundee Utd 0–3 (xG 0.85–1.52)
Head-to-head
Motherwell 2 · draws 3 · ST Mirren 1, 3.7 goals a game
- 30 Aug 2026 · ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 21 Feb 2026 · ST Mirren 0–5 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 3 Jan 2026 · Motherwell 2–0 ST Mirren (Premiership)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Motherwell 1–4 ST Mirren (League Cup)
- 9 Aug 2025 · ST Mirren 0–0 Motherwell (Premiership)
- 15 Mar 2025 · Motherwell 2–2 ST Mirren (Premiership)