Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen prediction

19:30

Wed 4 Nov, 19:30 Guldensporen Stadion B. Van Driessche

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 77%Books 77% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

39%

Bookmakers 36%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

35%

Bookmakers 37%

Us 39%Bookmakers 36% Fair price Uncertainty ±3.6%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.4% alone is not enough).

Home win: 39% against a market price of 36% (+2.4%).

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Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen preview

Kortrijk host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on Wednesday 4 November at 19:30 at Guldensporen Stadion.

Our model gives Kortrijk 39%, the draw 26% and KV Mechelen 35%; the bookmakers' prices said 36%, 27% and 37%.

Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (1 scored, 9 conceded).

KV Mechelen have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Kortrijk won 1, KV Mechelen won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

All Jupiler Pro League matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV win 62% @ 1.57
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 KV Mechelen vs Genk Genk win 51% @ 1.97
Sat 31 Oct, 17:15 Standard Liege vs Kortrijk Standard Liege win 53% @ 1.76
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo Anderlecht win 57% @ 1.60
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise win 59% @ 1.53

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Kortrijk

LWLLL

10 Oct · A v Genk 0–3 (xG 0.65–1.78)
20 Sep · H v SK Beveren 1–0 (xG 2.25–0.42)
13 Sep · A v RAAL La Louvière 0–3 (xG 0.81–3.58)
6 Sep · H v Zulte Waregem 0–2 (xG 0.55–1.19)
3 Sep · A v Anderlecht 0–1 (xG 0.46–1.50)

KV Mechelen

WDLLD

11 Oct · H v St. Truiden 4–3 (xG 0.74–1.45)
19 Sep · A v Lommel United 0–0 (xG 1.31–0.48)
11 Sep · H v Anderlecht 0–1 (xG 1.23–0.91)
5 Sep · H v KVC Westerlo 0–4 (xG 0.58–2.41)
29 Aug · A v RAAL La Louvière 2–2 (xG 2.11–2.17)

Head-to-head

Kortrijk 1 · draws 0 · KV Mechelen 1, 3.5 goals a game

29 Nov 2024 · Kortrijk 3–1 KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League)
20 Oct 2024 · KV Mechelen 3–0 Kortrijk (Jupiler Pro League)