KV Mechelen vs Genk prediction

15:00

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Achter de Kazerne

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

25%

Bookmakers 25%

Draw

24%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

51%

Bookmakers 50%

Us 51%Bookmakers 50% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.4% alone is not enough).

Away win: 51% against a market price of 50% (+1.4%).

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KV Mechelen vs Genk preview

KV Mechelen host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Achter de Kazerne.

Our model gives KV Mechelen 25%, the draw 24% and Genk 51%; the bookmakers' prices said 25%, 25% and 50%.

KV Mechelen have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).

Genk have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings KV Mechelen won 1, Genk won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

All Jupiler Pro League matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV win 62% @ 1.57
Sat 31 Oct, 17:15 Standard Liege vs Kortrijk Standard Liege win 53% @ 1.76
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo Anderlecht win 57% @ 1.60
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise win 59% @ 1.53
Wed 4 Nov, 19:30 Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen Kortrijk win 39% @ 2.70

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

KV Mechelen

WDLLD

11 Oct · H v St. Truiden 4–3 (xG 0.74–1.45)
19 Sep · A v Lommel United 0–0 (xG 1.31–0.48)
11 Sep · H v Anderlecht 0–1 (xG 1.23–0.91)
5 Sep · H v KVC Westerlo 0–4 (xG 0.58–2.41)
29 Aug · A v RAAL La Louvière 2–2 (xG 2.11–2.17)

Genk

WWLDD

25 Oct · H v Standard Liege 2–1 (xG 3.32–1.48)
10 Oct · H v Kortrijk 3–0 (xG 1.78–0.65)
20 Sep · A v Club Brugge KV 0–3 (xG 1.96–2.12)
13 Sep · H v Gent 1–1 (xG 0.94–0.89)
6 Sep · A v Anderlecht 0–0 (xG 0.40–0.70)

Head-to-head

KV Mechelen 1 · draws 0 · Genk 3, 3.0 goals a game

13 Feb 2026 · KV Mechelen 2–3 Genk (Jupiler Pro League)
23 Nov 2025 · Genk 0–1 KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League)
18 Jan 2025 · KV Mechelen 1–2 Genk (Jupiler Pro League)
28 Sep 2024 · Genk 2–1 KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League)