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Lommel United vs Gent prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Soevereinstadion
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 76%Books 77% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
29%
Bookmakers 22%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 53%
Us 45%Bookmakers 53% Odds too short Uncertainty ±5.2%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 45% against a market price of 53% (-7.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Lommel United vs Gent preview

Lommel United host Gent in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 1 November at 17:30 at Soevereinstadion.

Our model gives Lommel United 29%, the draw 27% and Gent 45%; the bookmakers' prices said 22%, 25% and 53%.

Lommel United have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 9 conceded).

Gent have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 76%.

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

All Jupiler Pro League matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Lommel United

DWDLL
  • 24 Oct · A v OH Leuven 2–2 (xG 0.97–3.43)
  • 9 Oct · A v SK Beveren 3–1 (xG 1.50–0.73)
  • 19 Sep · H v KV Mechelen 0–0 (xG 0.48–1.31)
  • 12 Sep · A v Union St. Gilloise 0–5 (xG 0.65–3.27)
  • 4 Sep · H v Club Brugge KV 0–1 (xG 0.65–0.80)

Gent

WLWWW
  • 25 Oct · H v Anderlecht 4–0 (xG 1.89–1.55)
  • 22 Oct · A v SC Braga 0–2 (xG 0.46–2.11)
  • 15 Oct · H v Aarhus 1–0 (xG 2.24–0.23)
  • 10 Oct · A v Zulte Waregem 2–0 (xG 1.50–0.75)
  • 18 Sep · H v Standard Liege 2–1 (xG 1.30–1.11)

Head-to-head

No previous meeting stored.