Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 16:45
Arena Khimki
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
21%
Bookmakers 20%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
56%
Bookmakers 57%
Us 56%Bookmakers 57%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±3.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 56% against a market price of 57% (-1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar preview
Rodina Moskva host FC Krasnodar in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 16:45 at Arena Khimki.
Our model gives Rodina Moskva 21%, the draw 23% and FC Krasnodar 56%; the bookmakers' prices said 20%, 23% and 57%.
Rodina Moskva have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 11 conceded).
FC Krasnodar have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 10 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League matches- Sat 31 Oct, 12:15 Rubin vs Fakel Rubin win 42% @ 2.06
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Dynamo vs Akhmat Dynamo win 64% @ 1.54
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRodina Moskva
LWDLL
- 28 Oct · A v FC Orenburg 1–2
- 24 Oct · A v Fakel 1–0 (xG 1.20–0.64)
- 19 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 2–2 (xG 1.90–2.31)
- 15 Oct · H v Spartak Moscow 2–4
- 11 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 0–3
FC Krasnodar
WDDLL
- 27 Oct · H v Dynamo 2–1
- 24 Oct · H v Baltika 1–1 (xG 0.92–0.83)
- 17 Oct · A v Lokomotiv 3–3 (xG 1.37–2.10)
- 13 Oct · H v Fakel 0–2
- 10 Oct · H v Zenit 2–3
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.