Rubin vs Fakel prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 12:15
Ak Bars Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 82%Books 81% Best odds 1.20 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
42%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 42%Bookmakers 48%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 42% against a market price of 48% (-5.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Rubin vs Fakel preview
Rubin host Fakel in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 12:15 at Ak Bars Arena.
Our model gives Rubin 42%, the draw 31% and Fakel 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 48%, 29% and 23%.
Rubin have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (1 scored, 12 conceded).
Fakel have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 7 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Rubin won 2, Fakel won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 82%.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Dynamo vs Akhmat Dynamo win 64% @ 1.54
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:45 Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar win 56% @ 1.75
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRubin
LLLLL
- 28 Oct · A v Spartak Moscow 0–1
- 24 Oct · H v Krylia Sovetov 0–2 (xG 0.27–1.02)
- 18 Oct · A v Spartak Moscow 0–4 (xG 0.32–3.39)
- 15 Oct · H v FC Orenburg 1–4
- 11 Oct · H v Dynamo 0–1
Fakel
DLWWL
- 27 Oct · H v Akhmat 0–0
- 24 Oct · H v Rodina Moskva 0–1 (xG 0.64–1.20)
- 17 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 2–1 (xG 0.73–1.80)
- 13 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 2–0
- 10 Oct · H v Lokomotiv 0–5
Head-to-head
Rubin 2 · draws 1 · Fakel 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 27 Apr 2025 · Rubin 2–1 Fakel (Premier League)
- 1 Oct 2024 · Rubin 0–1 Fakel (Cup)
- 27 Sep 2024 · Fakel 0–0 Rubin (Premier League)
- 27 Aug 2024 · Fakel 0–2 Rubin (Cup)