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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Lavanttal-Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 84%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
22%
Bookmakers 21%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
55%
Bookmakers 57%
Us 55%Bookmakers 57% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 55% against a market price of 57% (-1.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz preview

Wolfsberger AC host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November at 13:30 at Lavanttal-Arena.

Our model gives Wolfsberger AC 22%, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz 55%; the bookmakers' prices said 21%, 22% and 57%.

Wolfsberger AC have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 5 (1 scored, 13 conceded).

Sturm Graz have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Wolfsberger AC won 3, Sturm Graz won 0 and 3 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.

More Bundesliga predictions

All Bundesliga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Wolfsberger AC

LLLLL
  • 24 Oct · A v TSV Hartberg 0–1 (xG 0.52–1.77)
  • 18 Oct · H v WSG Wattens 0–2 (xG 1.91–1.69)
  • 11 Oct · A v SCR Altach 0–3 (xG 0.26–1.89)
  • 20 Sep · A v Ried 1–4 (xG 1.96–4.83)
  • 12 Sep · H v Rapid Vienna 0–3 (xG 0.86–1.05)

Sturm Graz

DWWLW
  • 25 Oct · H v Ried 2–2 (xG 1.98–1.39)
  • 22 Oct · H v Marseille 1–0 (xG 1.47–0.73)
  • 18 Oct · H v Grazer AK 6–1 (xG 3.63–0.61)
  • 15 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 0.37–2.88)
  • 10 Oct · A v Austria Vienna 2–0 (xG 2.67–2.31)

Head-to-head

Wolfsberger AC 3 · draws 3 · Sturm Graz 0, 3.0 goals a game

  • 1 Mar 2026 · Wolfsberger AC 2–2 Sturm Graz (Bundesliga)
  • 26 Oct 2025 · Sturm Graz 1–3 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
  • 24 May 2025 · Sturm Graz 1–1 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)
  • 30 Mar 2025 · Wolfsberger AC 1–1 Sturm Graz (Bundesliga)
  • 15 Feb 2025 · Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Sturm Graz (Bundesliga)
  • 22 Sep 2024 · Sturm Graz 0–3 Wolfsberger AC (Bundesliga)