Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00
Petre Libardi Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 79%Books 80% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 45%Bookmakers 45%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.9% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 45% (+0.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti preview
Corvinul Hunedoara host Arges Pitesti in the Liga I on Saturday 31 October at 14:00 at Petre Libardi Stadium.
Our model gives Corvinul Hunedoara 45%, the draw 28% and Arges Pitesti 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 45%, 29% and 26%.
Corvinul Hunedoara have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).
Arges Pitesti have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 8 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 79%.
More Liga I predictions
All Liga I matches- Fri 30 Oct, 18:30 Rapid vs Csikszereda Rapid win 75% @ 1.31
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj Petrolul Ploiesti win 39% @ 2.75
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCorvinul Hunedoara
LLWWL
- 23 Oct · H v Universitatea Cluj 0–3 (xG 1.10–0.99)
- 17 Oct · A v Rapid 0–2 (xG 0.83–1.36)
- 9 Oct · H v FC Voluntari 3–2 (xG 2.70–1.62)
- 21 Sep · A v Oţelul 3–2 (xG 2.31–2.02)
- 13 Sep · H v Universitatea Craiova 0–1 (xG 0.60–1.07)
Arges Pitesti
LDLLD
- 24 Oct · H v Uta Arad 0–1 (xG 1.50–0.68)
- 19 Oct · A v Universitatea Cluj 2–2 (xG 1.94–1.65)
- 12 Oct · H v CFR 1907 Cluj 0–1 (xG 1.79–1.93)
- 18 Sep · A v Rapid 1–3
- 13 Sep · H v FC Botosani 1–1 (xG 1.51–1.08)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.