Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj prediction

17:00

CFR 1907 Cluj

Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 74%Books 75% Best odds 1.29 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

39%

Bookmakers 37%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

34%

Bookmakers 35%

Us 39%Bookmakers 37% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.1% alone is not enough).

Home win: 39% against a market price of 37% (+2.1%).

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Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj preview

Petrolul Ploiesti host CFR 1907 Cluj in the Liga I on Saturday 31 October at 17:00.

Our model gives Petrolul Ploiesti 39%, the draw 27% and CFR 1907 Cluj 34%; the bookmakers' prices said 37%, 28% and 35%.

Petrolul Ploiesti have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 7 conceded).

CFR 1907 Cluj have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Petrolul Ploiesti won 1, CFR 1907 Cluj won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 74%.

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