Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker prediction

14:30

Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 ImmoAgentur Stadion

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 79% Best odds 1.22 (Bet365)

Match result: no bet

Home win

37%

Bookmakers 40%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

37%

Bookmakers 34%

Us 37%Bookmakers 40% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 37% against a market price of 40% (-2.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker preview

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz host Admira Wacker in the 2. Liga on Saturday 31 October at 14:30 at ImmoAgentur Stadion.

Our model gives Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 37%, the draw 26% and Admira Wacker 37%; the bookmakers' prices said 40%, 26% and 34%.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Admira Wacker have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz won 0, Admira Wacker won 3 and 1 was drawn, with 4.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

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