Albacete vs Sabadell prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 76%Books 77% Best odds 1.29 (1xBet)
Match result: no bet
Home win
37%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 37%Bookmakers 36%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 37% against a market price of 36% (+1.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Albacete vs Sabadell preview
Albacete host Sabadell in the Segunda División on Saturday 31 October at 20:00 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
Our model gives Albacete 37%, the draw 29% and Sabadell 34%; the bookmakers' prices said 36%, 30% and 35%.
Albacete have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 12 conceded).
Sabadell have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (4 scored, 4 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.
More Segunda División predictions
All Segunda División matches- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Real Sociedad II vs Girona Girona win 45% @ 2.07
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Eibar vs Almeria Eibar win 40% @ 2.48
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba Cordoba win 42% @ 2.06
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlbacete
WLLLL
- 25 Oct · H v Eldense 2–0 (xG 1.06–0.94)
- 17 Oct · A v Sporting Gijon 1–2 (xG 0.45–0.81)
- 12 Oct · A v Valladolid 0–5 (xG 0.73–2.96)
- 3 Oct · H v Eibar 1–3 (xG 2.00–1.07)
- 25 Sep · A v Girona 0–2
Sabadell
DLWDD
- 25 Oct · H v Tenerife 1–1 (xG 0.90–0.70)
- 18 Oct · A v Burgos 0–1 (xG 0.51–2.22)
- 10 Oct · A v AD Ceuta FC 2–1 (xG 0.91–1.71)
- 4 Oct · H v FC Andorra 0–0
- 26 Sep · A v Celta de Vigo II 1–1 (xG 0.38–0.51)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.