Eibar vs Almeria prediction

15:15

Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 76%Books 77% Best odds 1.28 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

40%

Bookmakers 39%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

33%

Bookmakers 33%

Us 40%Bookmakers 39% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.1% alone is not enough).

Home win: 40% against a market price of 39% (+1.1%).

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Eibar vs Almeria preview

Eibar host Almeria in the Segunda División on Saturday 31 October at 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.

Our model gives Eibar 40%, the draw 27% and Almeria 33%; the bookmakers' prices said 39%, 28% and 33%.

Eibar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 9 conceded).

Almeria have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Eibar won 2, Almeria won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 76%.

More Segunda División predictions

All Segunda División matches

Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Real Sociedad II vs Girona Girona win 45% @ 2.07
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Celta de Vigo II vs Cordoba Cordoba win 42% @ 2.06
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Albacete vs Sabadell Albacete win 37% @ 2.75

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Eibar

LDLWW

24 Oct · A v Cordoba 0–2 (xG 1.68–2.56)
17 Oct · H v Mallorca 1–1 (xG 2.49–2.03)
12 Oct · A v Oviedo 1–3 (xG 1.99–1.85)
3 Oct · A v Albacete 3–1 (xG 1.07–2.00)
27 Sep · H v Las Palmas 3–2

Almeria

DWWWW

24 Oct · H v Oviedo 2–2 (xG 0.70–1.35)
17 Oct · A v Real Sociedad II 4–2 (xG 1.91–1.63)
11 Oct · H v Leganes 3–0 (xG 1.34–0.87)
3 Oct · H v Burgos 2–1 (xG 2.19–1.14)
27 Sep · A v Mallorca 1–0 (xG 2.25–2.81)

Head-to-head

Eibar 2 · draws 1 · Almeria 1, 2.5 goals a game

25 Jan 2026 · Eibar 1–0 Almeria (Segunda División)
1 Nov 2025 · Almeria 3–1 Eibar (Segunda División)
7 Mar 2025 · Eibar 1–0 Almeria (Segunda División)
22 Sep 2024 · Almeria 2–2 Eibar (Segunda División)