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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 12:30 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 81%Books 83% Best odds 1.19 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
37%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 37%
Us 38%Bookmakers 37% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.5%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.8% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 38% against a market price of 37% (+0.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel preview

SpVgg Greuther Fürth host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November at 12:30 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer.

Our model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth 37%, the draw 25% and Holstein Kiel 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 38%, 25% and 37%.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Holstein Kiel have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 3 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1, Holstein Kiel won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 81%.

More 2. Bundesliga predictions

All 2. Bundesliga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

LWLDD
  • 25 Oct · A v VfL Osnabrück 0–3 (xG 0.65–2.55)
  • 17 Oct · H v Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 (xG 0.71–1.31)
  • 11 Oct · A v Hertha BSC 1–2 (xG 1.06–1.79)
  • 18 Sep · H v 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 (xG 0.70–0.90)
  • 12 Sep · A v VfL Bochum 1–1 (xG 1.64–1.53)

Holstein Kiel

DWDLD
  • 28 Oct · H v 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 (xG 1.11–0.86)
  • 25 Oct · H v Dynamo Dresden 3–0 (xG 1.47–2.04)
  • 16 Oct · H v Hertha BSC 0–0 (xG 0.61–1.59)
  • 9 Oct · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 (xG 1.19–1.08)
  • 19 Sep · H v VfL Osnabrück 1–1 (xG 2.10–1.82)

Head-to-head

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 · draws 0 · Holstein Kiel 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 31 Jan 2026 · Holstein Kiel 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga)
  • 24 Aug 2025 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga)