FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 12:30
Millerntor-Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 81% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 44%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 39%Bookmakers 44%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 44% (-5.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview
FC St. Pauli host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November at 12:30 at Millerntor-Stadion.
Our model gives FC St. Pauli 39%, the draw 26% and 1. FC Nürnberg 34%; the bookmakers' prices said 44%, 26% and 30%.
FC St. Pauli have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 2 conceded).
1. FC Nürnberg have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 11 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
All 2. Bundesliga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Braunschweig Arminia Bielefeld win 51% @ 1.78
- Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 Energie Cottbus vs VfL Bochum VfL Bochum win 38% @ 2.37
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück VfL Wolfsburg win 56% @ 1.56
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg win 41% @ 2.27
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC Hertha BSC win 39% @ 2.38
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim win 40% @ 2.18
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC St. Pauli
DDWDW
- 23 Oct · A v SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 (xG 1.91–0.81)
- 17 Oct · A v Hannover 96 1–1 (xG 1.00–1.35)
- 11 Oct · H v Karlsruher SC 2–0 (xG 0.80–1.16)
- 20 Sep · A v Energie Cottbus 1–1 (xG 0.77–1.12)
- 12 Sep · H v VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 (xG 0.93–0.54)
1. FC Nürnberg
LLDDW
- 28 Oct · A v Bayer Leverkusen 2–5 (xG 1.02–3.11)
- 24 Oct · H v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–1 (xG 2.18–0.88)
- 16 Oct · A v Energie Cottbus 1–1 (xG 1.37–1.91)
- 10 Oct · H v VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 (xG 2.38–3.71)
- 19 Sep · A v Karlsruher SC 1–0 (xG 0.81–0.43)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.