Amarante vs FC Porto B prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 11:00
Amarante Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 79%Books 78% Best odds 1.25 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 45%Bookmakers 46%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 46% (-0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Amarante vs FC Porto B preview
Amarante host FC Porto B in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 31 October at 11:00 at Amarante Stadium.
Our model gives Amarante 45%, the draw 28% and FC Porto B 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 28% and 26%.
Amarante have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 8 conceded).
FC Porto B have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 10 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 79%.
More Segunda Liga predictions
All Segunda Liga matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Portimonense vs Torreense Torreense win 40% @ 2.59
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Leixoes vs Sporting CP B Leixoes win 44% @ 2.05
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Benfica B vs Chaves Benfica B win 41% @ 2.39
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 União de Leiria vs AVS União de Leiria win 53% @ 1.65
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAmarante
LLLWD
- 26 Oct · A v Torreense 0–1
- 17 Oct · A v Academica 2–3
- 10 Oct · H v Portimonense 1–2
- 20 Sep · A v Ponte da Barca 2–0
- 13 Sep · H v União de Leiria 2–2
FC Porto B
DWDLL
- 25 Oct · H v União de Leiria 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Leixoes 2–1
- 14 Sep · H v Vizela 2–2
- 5 Sep · A v Tondela 0–3
- 30 Aug · H v Penafiel 0–3
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.