União de Leiria vs AVS prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 18:00
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 72%Books 70% Best odds 1.38 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 53%Bookmakers 59%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±5.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 59% (-6.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
União de Leiria vs AVS preview
União de Leiria host AVS in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 31 October at 18:00.
Our model gives União de Leiria 53%, the draw 25% and AVS 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 59%, 23% and 18%.
União de Leiria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).
AVS have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 2 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 72%.
More Segunda Liga predictions
All Segunda Liga matches- Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Amarante vs FC Porto B Amarante win 45% @ 2.10
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Portimonense vs Torreense Torreense win 40% @ 2.59
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Leixoes vs Sporting CP B Leixoes win 44% @ 2.05
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Benfica B vs Chaves Benfica B win 41% @ 2.39
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsUnião de Leiria
DWLWD
- 25 Oct · A v FC Porto B 1–1
- 17 Oct · H v Bragança 2–1
- 11 Oct · H v Academica 0–2
- 19 Sep · A v O Elvas 2–0
- 13 Sep · A v Amarante 2–2
AVS
WWWWD
- 25 Oct · H v Tondela 2–1
- 17 Oct · H v Moreirense 1–0
- 9 Oct · A v Penafiel 2–1
- 20 Sep · A v Sintrense 2–0
- 13 Sep · H v Farense 0–0
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.