Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 17:15
Sovcombank Arena
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 79%Books 78% Best odds 1.24 (1xBet)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
67%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 67%Bookmakers 65%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 67% against a market price of 65% (+1.3%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula preview
Nizhny Novgorod host Arsenal Tula in the First League on Friday 30 October at 17:15 at Sovcombank Arena.
Our model gives Nizhny Novgorod 67%, the draw 20% and Arsenal Tula 13%; the bookmakers' prices said 65%, 21% and 14%.
Nizhny Novgorod have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (18 scored, 1 conceded).
Arsenal Tula have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 12 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.
More First League predictions
All First League matches- Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 Veles vs Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma win 39% @ 2.40
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNizhny Novgorod
WWWWW
- 24 Oct · A v FC UFA 1–0
- 18 Oct · A v Ural 2–1
- 14 Oct · H v Shinnik Yaroslavl 4–0
- 10 Oct · H v Enisey 5–0
- 17 Sep · H v Leningradets 6–0
Arsenal Tula
WLWLD
- 24 Oct · H v KAMAZ 4–3
- 17 Oct · A v FC UFA 0–2
- 9 Oct · H v Spartak Kostroma 3–2
- 16 Sep · A v Enisey 1–3
- 13 Sep · H v Ska-khabarovsk 2–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.