Veles vs Spartak Kostroma prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 15:00
Avangard Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 78%Books 76% Best odds 1.26 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
39%
Bookmakers 40%
Us 39%Bookmakers 40%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 39% against a market price of 40% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 17 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Veles vs Spartak Kostroma preview
Veles host Spartak Kostroma in the First League on Friday 30 October at 15:00 at Avangard Stadium.
Our model gives Veles 31%, the draw 31% and Spartak Kostroma 39%; the bookmakers' prices said 30%, 30% and 40%.
Veles have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 6 conceded).
Spartak Kostroma have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 7 conceded).
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 78%.
More First League predictions
All First League matches- Fri 30 Oct, 17:15 Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula Nizhny Novgorod win 67% @ 1.49
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVeles
LDWLD
- 25 Oct · A v Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1
- 18 Oct · H v Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Ural 2–1
- 4 Oct · H v Volga Ulyanovsk 1–2
- 17 Sep · A v Torpedo Moskva 1–1
Spartak Kostroma
LWWLL
- 26 Oct · A v Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–2
- 17 Oct · H v Leningradets 2–0
- 13 Oct · H v Chelyabinsk 1–0
- 9 Oct · A v Arsenal Tula 2–3
- 26 Sep · H v Ural 1–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.