Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 18:30
New Tivoli
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
54%
Bookmakers 51%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 54%Bookmakers 51%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±4.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 54% against a market price of 51% (+3.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster preview
Alemannia Aachen host Preußen Münster in the 3. Liga on Sunday 1 November at 18:30 at New Tivoli.
Our model gives Alemannia Aachen 54%, the draw 23% and Preußen Münster 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 51%, 24% and 25%.
Alemannia Aachen have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 9 conceded).
Preußen Münster have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 10 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More 3. Liga predictions
All 3. Liga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen Fortuna Düsseldorf win 47% @ 1.85
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock win 40% @ 2.29
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II MSV Duisburg win 64% @ 1.53
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Verl vs SV Wehen Verl win 38% @ 2.82
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 win 49% @ 1.87
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln win 42% @ 2.32
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlemannia Aachen
WWLLW
- 24 Oct · A v Stuttgart II 2–1
- 17 Oct · H v Hansa Rostock 2–0
- 14 Oct · A v SV Wehen 0–3
- 11 Oct · H v FC Viktoria Köln 2–5
- 19 Sep · H v Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–0
Preußen Münster
WLLDL
- 25 Oct · H v Fortuna Köln 1–0
- 17 Oct · A v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–3
- 14 Oct · H v Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2
- 9 Oct · H v Rot-Weiß Essen 3–3
- 20 Sep · A v Waldhof Mannheim 0–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.