Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 77%Books 77% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 46%Bookmakers 47%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 47% (-0.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Fortuna Köln vs Würzburger Kickers preview
Fortuna Köln host Würzburger Kickers in the 3. Liga on Saturday 31 October at 15:30.
Our model gives Fortuna Köln 46%, the draw 26% and Würzburger Kickers 28%; the bookmakers' prices said 47%, 26% and 27%.
Fortuna Köln have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 5 conceded).
Würzburger Kickers have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 10 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.
More 3. Liga predictions
All 3. Liga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen Fortuna Düsseldorf win 47% @ 1.85
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock win 41% @ 2.18
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II MSV Duisburg win 64% @ 1.53
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Verl vs SV Wehen Verl win 38% @ 2.82
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Havelse vs FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 win 51% @ 1.87
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Hoffenheim II vs FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln win 42% @ 2.32
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFortuna Köln
LLLDW
- 25 Oct · A v Preußen Münster 0–1
- 16 Oct · H v Stuttgart II 0–1
- 13 Oct · A v Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2
- 10 Oct · H v FC Saarbrücken 0–0 (xG 1.27–1.32)
- 25 Sep · A v Havelse 3–1
Würzburger Kickers
LWDLL
- 24 Oct · A v SV Meppen 0–4
- 17 Oct · H v Waldhof Mannheim 2–0
- 13 Oct · A v Havelse 2–2
- 10 Oct · H v Hansa Rostock 0–2 (xG 1.05–3.11)
- 18 Sep · A v Verl 1–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.