Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor prediction

13:00

Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Yusuf Ziya Onis

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 77%Books 75% Best odds 1.28 (Bet365)

Match result: no bet

Home win

53%

Bookmakers 51%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

22%

Bookmakers 23%

Us 53%Bookmakers 51% Fair price Uncertainty ±3.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.9% alone is not enough).

Home win: 53% against a market price of 51% (+1.9%).

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Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor preview

Fatih Karagümrük host Pendikspor in the 1. Lig on Saturday 31 October at 13:00 at Yusuf Ziya Onis.

Our model gives Fatih Karagümrük 53%, the draw 25% and Pendikspor 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 51%, 26% and 23%.

Fatih Karagümrük have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Pendikspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Fatih Karagümrük won 0, Pendikspor won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

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