Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC prediction

17:30

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Olympic Stadium of Athens

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 77%Books 78% Best odds 1.28 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

41%

Bookmakers 42%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

31%

Bookmakers 31%

Us 41%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 41% against a market price of 42% (-0.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC preview

Panathinaikos host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 on Sunday 1 November at 17:30 at Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Our model gives Panathinaikos 41%, the draw 28% and AEK Athens FC 31%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 27% and 31%.

Panathinaikos have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (13 scored, 4 conceded).

AEK Athens FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Panathinaikos won 2, AEK Athens FC won 3 and 1 was drawn, with 3.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

More Super League 1 predictions

All Super League 1 matches

Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus win 65% @ 1.46
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis win 44% @ 2.04
Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Panetolikos vs OFI OFI win 38% @ 2.68
Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis PAOK win 74% @ 1.32

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Panathinaikos

WWWWL

25 Oct · A v Volos NFC 1–0 (xG 2.08–0.18)
22 Oct · A v Kairat Almaty 5–1 (xG 2.52–0.83)
18 Oct · H v Asteras Tripolis 5–1 (xG 5.80–0.91)
15 Oct · H v Borac Banja Luka 2–1 (xG 3.80–0.23)
11 Oct · A v Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 (xG 0.47–0.73)

AEK Athens FC

WLLWW

24 Oct · H v Panetolikos 5–0 (xG 3.98–0.31)
20 Oct · A v Manchester City 1–5 (xG 1.23–2.82)
14 Oct · A v Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 (xG 1.36–1.40)
10 Oct · H v OFI 3–0 (xG 1.66–0.21)
20 Sep · A v Volos NFC 2–1 (xG 1.92–1.39)

Head-to-head

Panathinaikos 2 · draws 1 · AEK Athens FC 3, 3.2 goals a game

10 May 2026 · AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
3 May 2026 · Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC (Super League 1)
18 Jan 2026 · AEK Athens FC 4–0 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
30 Nov 2025 · Panathinaikos 2–3 AEK Athens FC (Super League 1)
4 May 2025 · AEK Athens FC 1–2 Panathinaikos (Super League 1)
6 Apr 2025 · Panathinaikos 3–1 AEK Athens FC (Super League 1)