PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis prediction

17:00

Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Toumba Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.20 (Betfair)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

74%

Bookmakers 74%

Draw

17%

Bookmakers 17%

Away win

Bookmakers 9%

Us 74%Bookmakers 74% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.2%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 74% against a market price of 74% (-0.5%).

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PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis preview

PAOK host Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1 on Sunday 1 November at 17:00 at Toumba Stadium.

Our model gives PAOK 74%, the draw 17% and Asteras Tripolis 9%; the bookmakers' prices said 74%, 17% and 9%.

PAOK have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 7 conceded).

Asteras Tripolis have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings PAOK won 3, Asteras Tripolis won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 3.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.

More Super League 1 predictions

All Super League 1 matches

Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus win 65% @ 1.46
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis win 44% @ 2.04
Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Panetolikos vs OFI OFI win 38% @ 2.68
Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC Panathinaikos win 41% @ 2.31

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

PAOK

LWLWW

25 Oct · A v OFI 1–2 (xG 2.23–2.83)
18 Oct · H v Iraklis 1908 2–1 (xG 2.10–0.84)
12 Oct · H v Kalamata 1–3 (xG 1.29–2.37)
20 Sep · A v Panetolikos 3–1 (xG 2.08–0.12)
13 Sep · H v Aris Thessalonikis 2–0 (xG 2.39–1.24)

Asteras Tripolis

DLWDD

24 Oct · H v Levadiakos 0–0 (xG 0.00–0.00)
18 Oct · A v Panathinaikos 1–5 (xG 0.91–5.80)
10 Oct · H v Atromitos 2–1 (xG 1.17–0.49)
20 Sep · A v OFI 2–2 (xG 0.74–0.91)
13 Sep · H v AEK Athens FC 1–1 (xG 1.46–2.17)

Head-to-head

PAOK 3 · draws 1 · Asteras Tripolis 0, 3.3 goals a game

1 Mar 2026 · PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1)
28 Sep 2025 · Asteras Tripolis 3–3 PAOK (Super League 1)
2 Mar 2025 · PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1)
24 Nov 2024 · Asteras Tripolis 1–2 PAOK (Super League 1)