Omonia Nicosia vs AEL prediction

17:00

Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 GSP Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 83%Books 83% Best odds 1.17 (Bet365)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

74%

Bookmakers 72%

Draw

17%

Bookmakers 18%

Away win

Bookmakers 10%

Us 74%Bookmakers 72% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.0%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 74% against a market price of 72% (+2.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Omonia Nicosia vs AEL preview

Omonia Nicosia host AEL in the 1. Division on Saturday 31 October at 17:00 at GSP Stadium.

Our model gives Omonia Nicosia 74%, the draw 17% and AEL 9%; the bookmakers' prices said 72%, 18% and 10%.

Omonia Nicosia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 8 conceded).

AEL have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Omonia Nicosia won 4, AEL won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.

More 1. Division predictions

All 1. Division matches

Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos Olympiakos win 41% @ 2.25
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca win 70% @ 1.42
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Apollon Limassol vs Pafos Apollon Limassol win 45% @ 2.22

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Omonia Nicosia

LLDWW

26 Oct · A v AEK Larnaca 0–2
22 Oct · H v Benfica 1–4 (xG 0.91–3.08)
19 Oct · H v Olympiakos 2–2 (xG 5.15–0.90)
15 Oct · A v Celje 3–0 (xG 2.12–0.97)
9 Oct · A v Karmiotissa 3–0

AEL

LWWWW

25 Oct · H v Aris 1–3
18 Oct · A v Omonia Aradippou 2–0
11 Oct · H v Omonia 29is Maiou 2–1 (xG 2.70–1.38)
18 Sep · A v Pafos 2–0
11 Sep · H v Nea Salamis 2–1

Head-to-head

Omonia Nicosia 4 · draws 0 · AEL 0, 3.8 goals a game

9 Jan 2026 · AEL 0–2 Omonia Nicosia (1. Division)
22 Sep 2025 · Omonia Nicosia 5–0 AEL (1. Division)
12 Jan 2025 · AEL 0–4 Omonia Nicosia (1. Division)
27 Sep 2024 · Omonia Nicosia 3–1 AEL (1. Division)