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Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian prediction

Heart Of Midlothian
15:00
Hibernian
Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Hampden Park
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 79%Books 78% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
52%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 52%Bookmakers 50% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.2% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 52% against a market price of 50% (+2.2%).

The full reasoning, 11 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian preview

Heart Of Midlothian host Hibernian in the League Cup on Sunday 1 November at 15:00 at Hampden Park.

Our model gives Heart Of Midlothian 52%, the draw 24% and Hibernian 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 50%, 26% and 24%.

Heart Of Midlothian have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 12 conceded).

Hibernian have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Heart Of Midlothian won 4, Hibernian won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.

More League Cup predictions

All League Cup matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Heart Of Midlothian

DWLLD
  • 28 Oct · H v Rangers 2–2 (xG 1.75–2.26)
  • 25 Oct · A v Motherwell 2–0 (xG 1.12–1.34)
  • 22 Oct · A v Trabzonspor 0–2 (xG 0.64–1.49)
  • 18 Oct · A v Celtic 1–7 (xG 1.27–4.24)
  • 15 Oct · H v FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 (xG 1.81–0.64)

Hibernian

DLLLD
  • 28 Oct · A v ST Mirren 1–1 (xG 1.42–1.80)
  • 25 Oct · H v Celtic 1–2 (xG 1.24–1.16)
  • 17 Oct · H v Falkirk 1–2 (xG 1.42–0.82)
  • 10 Oct · A v Dundee Utd 0–1 (xG 0.77–1.68)
  • 19 Sep · H v Aberdeen 1–1 (xG 1.43–0.77)

Head-to-head

Heart Of Midlothian 4 · draws 0 · Hibernian 2, 2.8 goals a game

  • 3 Sep 2026 · Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)
  • 26 Apr 2026 · Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)
  • 10 Feb 2026 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian (Premiership)
  • 27 Dec 2025 · Hibernian 3–2 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)
  • 4 Oct 2025 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian (Premiership)
  • 2 Mar 2025 · Hibernian 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership)